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RP Data - Rismark Property Indices

Overview of the RP Data-Rismark Indices

The RP Data-Rismark Indices can be produced for various geographic demarcations from the suburb or postcode to entire regions, states or nationally. They can also be produced across all properties or divided between property types, such as units and houses.

There are three “classes” of RP Data-Rismark Indices:

1. RP Data-Rismark Stratified Median Price Indices

The first class of indices RP Data-Rismark have produced are based on median and “stratified” median price series. Stratification is a process for creating subsets of houses which are qualitatively similar. Unique price series are created for these subsets which are then aggregated to estimate quality-adjusted price movements in the overall market. The strata definitions used to classify properties into subsets are based on price, geography, landsize, and interactions of these variables. The stratified median index that RP Data-Rismark produces for units and apartments groups suburbs by their long term median transactions price. The stratified median index that RP Data- Rismark produces for houses, groups suburbs by their long term price to land size ratio.

This set of median and stratified indices are the benchmark class of index that will be made available to commercial clients since they are conceptually straightforward while retaining a number of advantages of the more complex models. The more advanced indices available from RP Data-Rismark are discussed below.


2. RP Data-Rismark Repeat Sales Indices

The second type of index estimates the performance of the market by analysing the returns on individual properties that sell at least twice. This is called the “repeat-sales” index. RP Data-Rismark produce five different repeat-sales indices. The first is called the “linear” weighted repeat-sales model (see Case and Shiller (1987)). This was the first repeat-sales model to identify that the dispersion of price appreciation of properties is likely to be related to the time between sales and makes explicit adjustments that mitigate the biasing effect of this. The second two repeat-sales models, developed by Calhoun (1996) and Webb (1988), extend the Case and Shiller model to allow for “non-linearities” in the relationship between time and price appreciation dispersion. The fourth repeat-sales model of Goetzmann and Spiegel (1995) is motivated by the fact that in many cases the features of properties are not constant through time. Be it a fresh layer of paint, or the installation of air-conditioning, most houses undergo some level of revamping, often just prior to sale. The Goetzmann and Spiegel model controls for elements of price appreciation that are not related to the time between sales, and thus is ideal for the customer looking for a “pure” estimate of price growth in residential real estate. The fifth repeat-sales model is based on the seminal paper of Bailey, Mourse and North (1967).

3. RP Data-Rismark Hedonic Indices

The third class of index, known as the “hedonic” model, has not previously been commercially produced in Australia. This index utilises comprehensive information on the attributes and characteristics of residential properties, such as location, land size, and bedrooms, to measure “quality-adjusted” changes in property value over time. Two alternative methods for constructing hedonic models have been designed by RP Data-Rismark. The first pooled hedonic index combines data from all time periods in the one estimation procedure to obtain index estimates. A potential caveat to this technique is that implicitly the values of housing attributes are held constant over time. That is, the value that an additional bathroom adds, for argument’s sake, to the total value of a house is the same today as when the house was bought. Few, however, would dispute the empirical result that the value of a bathroom as a proportion of the value of a house is greater today than yesteryear. The adjacent-period approach that RP Data-Rismark have developed combines data from consecutive time periods to derive an index which allows for the implicit value of property attributes to vary over time. This model also avoids the issue of revisability. That is, as time moves forward and more data becomes available, historical estimates of the index are likely to change when data from all time periods is pooled. As a result of the theoretical and practical advantages of the adjacent period hedonic model over the pooled hedonic index, it is the preferred hedonic index.



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